Cold front today, slight thunderstorm likely tonight

TOPEKA, Kan. (WIBW) – A frontal boundary will be the focal point for intermittent thunderstorms the rest of the work week. Unfortunately, storm chances will be isolated or scattered at best, not widespread, meaning there will be plenty of places that will get nothing this week.

A cold front is moving in today and the latest models have the front just southeast of the turnpike around 5:00 pm, which means the greatest potential for thunderstorms tonight will be southeast of the turnpike and closer from I-35. This cold front will move north as a warm front tomorrow morning and be near the Nebraska-Kansas border by evening, creating a chance for thunderstorms primarily along the Nebraska border tomorrow.

There is also a risk of late-night storms developing in western Kansas with patterns maintaining at least some of the rain and cloud cover moving across northeast Kansas tomorrow morning, so which will add a low chance of rain/storms affecting tomorrow.

Normal High: 86/Normal Low: 65
Normal High: 86/Normal Low: 65(WIBW)

This day: Mainly sunny. Highs in the mid-80s in north-central KS with lows in the mid-90s along and south of the turnpike. Winds will shift from south to north once the front moves through today or tonight. Gusts of up to 35 mph are still possible until the front passes, at which point the winds taper off to gusts near 20 mph. Slight chance of thunderstorms after 4pm.

Tonight: Chance of thunderstorms primarily near I-35 before midnight. Lows in the mid-60s to mid-70s. Winds become light to calm.

Morning: Slight chance of thunderstorms before 2:00 p.m. with decreasing cloudiness. Highs in the low-mid 90s. It’s worth noting that some models indicate highs mostly in the mid-upper 90s, so rain and cloud cover will certainly influence how hot (or how cold it remains), so be aware that this is subject to changes. Winds S 5-10 mph.

A further chance of thunderstorms Thursday night possibly lasting into early Friday with highs in the mid 90s and winds below 20 mph.

Saturday’s winds will also be relatively light before gusts of 20 to 30 mph return beginning Sunday. Highs remain in the 90s from Saturday to next Wednesday, the question remains whether or not it is more in the low-mid 90s or upper-mid 90s and triple digits are also possible.

Taking action:

  1. Heat is the number one weather-related killer (not tornadoes), so this heat wave needs to be taken seriously. Drink plenty of water even if you are swimming in a pool, keep your pets safe by keeping them hydrated and in shelter. If you don’t have access to air conditioning, go somewhere that does (movie theater, library, friend’s house).
  2. The storm chance today is highest southeast of the turnpike after 6:00 pm, but will be based on where the front is during this time, so keep an eye on the weather in case storms develop sooner. 6:00 pm and northwest of the turnpike.
  3. A small chance of showers/thunderstorms remains tomorrow morning and early afternoon IF storms developing overnight in western Kansas can stick together to move into the WIBW viewing area.
While the greatest chance of storms will be near I-35.  A conditional risk for storm development...
While the greatest chance of storms will be near I-35. A conditional risk of thunderstorms developing in the late afternoon/evening with a risk of hail/wind(SPC/WIBW)
Risk of hail/wind with some storm Thursday and Thursday night
Risk of hail/wind with some storm Thursday and Thursday night(SPC/WIBW)

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