Pirates vs. Cardinals odds, prediction, preview

It sounds strange to say that a 24-34 team that is 8.5 games behind in both the divisional race and the wild-card race is a pleasant surprise, but those were the expectations for the Pittsburgh Pirates heading into the 2022 season. the MLB. The Pirates entered Opening Day with the second-lowest win total (64) in MLB, and while they’re currently riding a six-game losing streak, Pittsburgh is still on track to surpass their total.

The Pirates will be looking to bail out Monday night against the St. Louis Cardinals. Unsurprisingly, the Cardinals are heavy favorites at home -190 despite playing behind a rookie pitcher who made his MLB debut 10 days ago. The game will start at 7:45 pm ET.

Pirates odds vs. cardinals

Odds provided by BetMGM

spread: PIT +1.5 (-120) vs. STL -1.5 (+100)

money line: PIT (+155) vs. STL (-190)

Total: More than 9.5 (+100) | Less than 9.5 (-120)

pirates vs. Cardinals likely pitchers

Mitch Keller (2-5, 5.26) vs. Zack Thompson (0-0, 2.25)

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Best Pirates Cardinals MLB Bets
Cardinals’ Tommy Edman steals a base against the Pittsburgh Pirates
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Preview of Pirates vs. Cardinals prediction

With just four innings under his belt at the MLB level, there’s no use trying to undermine how Zack Thompson will perform in a sample of a game. The best way to approach this matchup is to accept that Thompson’s start is more likely to create some variance, and that’s usually good news for underdogs.

Plus, we can expect the Cardinals’ bullpen to do some heavy lifting on this one. The Cardinals relief core ranks 14th in the MLB with a 3.90 ERA and 20th with a 1.31 WHIP. The good news for St. Louis is that the corral should be fresh after the Cardinals only needed two innings from their relievers on Sunday.

On the other side of the diamond will be Mitch Keller and his 5.26 ERA. While that sounds like an ugly situation for the Pirates, it’s not like Keller has to be dominant to keep Pittsburgh in this one. The pitching matchup is on the cards and the Cardinals are slightly above average when it comes to hitting right-handers in 2022.

And while Keller’s surface level numbers aren’t great, his xERA sits at 4.15 and his xFIP checks in at 4.52, so he should have a positive regression going forward.


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Things aren’t much more rosy for the Pirates on offense — they rank 28th in wRC+ and wOBA — but this pitching setup should give them enough scoring opportunities to stay with a Cardinals offense that rates pretty close to average.

With a pitching matchup that should suit them, or at least give their offense a chance, the Pirates tick a lot of the boxes for an underdog. Sean Zerillo’s Action Network MLB model makes the Pirates a +138 underdog on Monday night, so while it’s a bet he loses more often than he wins, the Bucs are well worth a bet. at current prices.

Selection of Pirates against Cardinals

Pittsburgh Pirates +155 (BetMGM)

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