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MLB Picks Expert Picks Today: Best MLB Bets for Saturday, June 11
RotoWire.comJuan Carlos Blanco’s identifies his MLB bets and MLB player endorsements to target today.
Last Item: 0-0-2 (0.00 RW Bucks)
Season record: 24-34-4 (-13.99 RW Bucks)
I’m securing a game in each league on Wednesday night’s slate that I feel has some exploitable starting pitchers and therefore can lead to solid offensive production for the opposition.
Los Angeles Dodgers on the San Francisco Giants
Starting pitchers: Clayton Kershaw vs. Sam Long
Kershaw will come off the disabled list for this start after last seeing major league action on May 7 with a pelvic injury. Kershaw got off to a stellar start before being sidelined, going 4-0 with a 1.80 ERA and a 0.73 WHIP in five starts. The legendary left-hander had allowed one or zero earned runs in four of those outings, but after such a long layoff and facing a Giants team that owns a .284 average, .913 OPS, .386 wOBA and 12.8 wRAA , the best in the MLB, against lefties. at home since May 1, the chances of San Francisco hitting it with at least one run in the first five innings are by no means inconceivable.
Long is starting Saturday with Alex Cobb on the disabled list with a neck injury. The young lefty also has a tough matchup on paper against the Dodgers, considering Los Angeles has generated a 13.1 percent walk rate, a modest 16.2 percent strikeout rate and a .337 wOBA against lefties on the road. from May 1. The Blue Crew are also the best in the majors with 3.2 runs in the first five innings per road game, and Long’s 11.5 percent walk rate could well get him into some trouble while he’s there against a potent lineup of veterans who has also shown a lot of patience at the plate against lefties.
The best MLB bets for the Dodgers on the Giants
The chose: Both teams will score 1 or more runs in the first 5 innings (-165 on BetMGM Sportsbook) for 1.65 RW Bucks
secondary selection: Money Line and Total Runs Parlay: Dodgers and Both Teams Score 2+ runs (+140) for 1 RW Buck
Boston Red Sox on the Seattle Mariners
Starting pitchers: miguel wacha against george kirby
Wacha’s body of work in recent seasons and some of his underlying metrics suggest a noticeable regression is to be expected sooner rather than later. The veteran right-hander came into the season with a 10-16 record, 5.11 ERA and 1.45 WHIP over the past three seasons, and while he’s done an excellent job of limiting damage and hard contact so far, there’s also a chasm. noticeable between his .234 wOBA and .322 xwOBA and his 1.99 ERA and 3.80 xERA. Wacha has also seen a noticeable drop in strikeout rate to 17.4 percent from last season’s already median 22.9 percent, and current Mariners bats have a team batting average of .264 and an OPS of .788. against him in 103 career games.
Kirby has been impressive in his first six starts and has displayed precise control, as evidenced by his 31:3 K:BB over 32 innings. That said, the young right-hander also has some potential red flags in his underlying metrics, as he has a .264 xBA and a .332 xwOBA, and is allowing a lofty 10.4 percent barrel rate. The Red Sox also matched him with five runs on eight hits in five innings at Fenway on May 19, and he comes in having allowed five home runs in his last three starts. He, too, faces a white-hot offense that has posted a .352 wOBA on the road against righties since May 1.
The best MLB bets for the Red Sox on the Mariners
The chose: 4+ runs – first 5 innings (-145 at BetMGM Sportsbook) for 1.45 RW Bucks
secondary selection: 8+ total runs (-110 on DraftKings Sportsbook) for 1.10 RW Bucks
Summary of the best bets in the MLB today
- Both the Dodgers and Giants will score 1+ runs in the first 5 innings (-165 on BetMGM Sportsbook) for 1.65 RW Bucks
- Money Line and Total Runs Parlay: Dodgers and both teams will score 2+ runs (+140) for 1 RW Buck
- Red Sox-Mariners 4+ runs: first 5 innings (-145 on BetMGM Sportsbook) for 1.45 RW Bucks
- Red Sox-Mariners 8+ total runs (-110 on DraftKings Sportsbook) by 1.10 RW Bucks
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