Friday was another busy day at Tuley’s Takes headquarters as we worked to put together our “Team Tuley’s Thoroughbred Takes” column on VSiN.com. You can find the Belmont Stakes plays for me and my disabled friends, plus we’ll add more plays from Saturdays later this morning after the scratches.
I also took my wife out to dinner with one of her cousins (we went to Ellis Island for their famous $11.99 steak dinner special, though it was better when it was $7.99!). I was still back at the home office in time to see my Best Bet on the Angels lose in a 7-3 loss at the hands of the Mets, along with my other MLB play on the Mariners in a 4-3 loss. against the Red Sox. Fortunately, we won our bet on the NBA Finals with the Warriors +4, as they beat the Celtics to tie the series 2-2. Admittedly it was a hedge against my series bet on the Celtics but we really felt like it was the right call as we really felt like this series would be back and forth and it proved that way with the zig-zag starting 3-0. SU and ATS. We already know we’ll be at the +3.5 Celtics in Game 5 on Monday in San Francisco. But there are a lot of bets from time to time, so let’s recap the rest of Friday’s action and make our plays on Saturday’s busy card.
NBA Friday recaps: The Warriors beat the Celtics 107-97 to even the NBA Finals at 2-2. The ViewFromVegas is that the Warriors did it as 4-point, +140 road dogs on the money line. The game fell short of the betting total of 213.5 points. The zig-zag is 3-0 ATS in the Finals as the teams have alternated wins. The Warriors opened as 3.5-point home favorites in Game 5 on Sunday.
More NBA: The favorites/dogs return to .500 with 2-2 SU and ATS in the NBA Finals. The favorites still lead 56-29 SU and 49-36 ATS (57.6 percent) overall. Home/away teams are 2-2 SU and ATS, while 51-34 SU and 44-41 ATS (51.8 percent) overall. The zig-zig improved to 40-30 ATS (57.1 percent) overall. Más/Menos are 2-2 in the Finals, while Menos lead 50-35 (58.8 percent).
MLB: The favorites finished 11-4 on Friday with upsets from the Nationals (+160 in a 11-5 win over the Brewers), Giants (+145 in a 7-2 win over the Dodgers), Marlins (+140 in a 7-2 win over the Dodgers), -4 against the Astros) and Royals (-104 in an 8-1 win against the Orioles). The local teams also finished 11-4. Overs went 8-7-1 with the push in the Giants’ 7-2 victory against the Dodgers with a total of 9 bets.
More MLB: The favorites are 522-331 SU (61.2 percent) on the season with 17 games closing pick-’em (the favorites usually win around 59 percent, so the favorites are still ahead of that pace). Home teams improved to 450-420 (51.7 percent, but generally closer to 54 percent). Unders leads just 428-397-43 (51.9 percent).
NHL: There is no game Friday, but the favorites are 7-2 in the conference final round and now lead 54-28 overall. Home teams are 5-3 in this round and 50-32 overall. The Unders are 6-3 in this round (4-1 in the Rangers-Lightning series), while the Overs still lead 43-37-2 (53.8 percent) overall.
Take Generals-Panthers Under 47 on Saturday: I’ve got this closer to 41 or 42 points, so this is my USFL Week 9 best play and my best bet for Saturday (and it’s still available in the William Hill and Caesars books as of Saturday for the morning). The Panthers, who were the preseason favorites to win the league championship, are 1-7 and playing with the rope, while the Generals should just hit the ball on the ground to keep the clock ticking. The first time these teams met in Week 2, the Generals won 10-6. I don’t expect the score to be that low, but we have a lot of wiggle room to keep this below the posted total.
Ranger + 160 Lightning: The two-time defending champion Lightning has won three straight to take a 3-2 series lead, but I’m counting on the Rangers to bounce back to send this series back to New York for a decisive Game 7. The goalkeepers – Igor Shesterkin for the Rangers and Andrei Vasilevskiy for the Lightning – have fought valiantly while the Under are 4-1 in the series, so I’m thinking of combining the Rangers with the Under 5.5.
MLB Dogs: We’ve been pretty cold on our dogs lately (it doesn’t help when the favorites go 11-4 like they did on Friday) so I wouldn’t blame anyone for letting them through, but the two dogs I’m considering on Saturday are the Rangers/Perez + 125 on the White Sox and Red Sox + 105 on the Mariners. Good luck today (and every day!).