Saturday was a loooong day at Tuley’s Takes front office as it kicked off with the early Belmont horse racing card and included a full MLB card, plus an NHL playoff game, two MLB games, USFL, golf and action from the UFC. It was non-stop action, ending for yours truly with a free “Shaggy” concert under the Fremont Street Experience when I joined my wife’s cousin and her boyfriend (cousin’s boyfriend, not my wife’s, dumbass) and led me to fall asleep earlier. posting this column, so my apologies to those of you waiting for your daily fix.
It was a roller coaster ride with our betting results as we didn’t cash in enough small tickets to make up for our losing tickets, including seeing Mo Donegal win the Belmont Stakes as the 5-2 favourite. It was bittersweet because I have a friend who was in owner Mike Repole’s 70-person entourage in the winner’s circle, but I was upset that I and another friend had Mo Donegal at 100-1 in Kentucky Derby futures and we needed him. for Show up with that performance 5 weeks ago! Oh well, that’s horse racing. We also had a losing day as we dropped our Best Bet on the Under-47 Generals-Panthers on the Generals Late Winning TD and also lost on the Rangers +160 on the Lightning in the NHL Eastern Conference Finals and we only split our two MLB dogs with the +125 Rangers beating the White Sox 11-9 in 10 innings and the +105 Red Sox losing 7-6 to the Mariners (at least we made a small profit there). Let’s recap the rest of the action from Saturday and try to recover on Sunday.
Saturday NHL recaps: The Lightning beat the Rangers 2-1 on Saturday night as they won their fourth straight game to win the Eastern Conference Finals 4-2 and advance to the Stanley Cup Finals. The Lightning were -210 favorites at home and the match remained under 5.5 goals in total betting. Under went 5-1 in this series. The favorites finished 8-2 in the conference final round and now lead 55-28 overall. Home teams finished 7-3 in the round and now 51-32 overall. Unders improved to 7-3 in this round (5-1 in this series), while Overs still leads 43-38-2 (53.1 percent) overall.
USFL: The oddsmakers defeated the Stallions 17-15 to hand the best team in the USFL its first loss of the season. The Gamblers did it as 12.5-point dogs and the game stayed under 42.5). The favorites/dogs split 1-1 SU on Saturday, but the dogs were 2-0 ATS when the Panthers lost but covered the 25-23 loss to the Generals (-7.5, over 46.5). Over/Under 1-1 on the day. The favorites are 25-9 SU on the season but just 17-16-1 ATS. Overs still lead 20-14.
MLB: Underdogs went 9-7 on Saturday with the biggest upsets being the Marlins +240 in a 5-1 win at Astros), Tigers (+240 in a 3-1 win vs. Blue Jays), Rockies (+190 in a win 6-2 at Padres) and Giants (+180 in 3-2 win over Dodgers). Also, the A’s (+120 in the 10-5 win at Guardians) snapped a 10-game losing streak. The local teams were 11-5. The overs were 10-6. Favorites remain 529-340 SU (60.9 percent) on the season with 17 games closing pick-’em (favorites typically win about 59 percent, so favorites are still ahead of that pace) . Home teams improved to 461-425 (52 percent, but generally closer to 54 percent). Unders leads just 428-397-43 (51.9 percent).
NBA: No game until Monday, but here are the playoff betting stats: Favorites/dogs return to .500 with 2-2 SU and ATS in the NBA Finals. The favorites still lead 56-29 SU and 49-36 ATS (57.6 percent) overall. Home/away teams are 2-2 SU and ATS, while 51-34 SU and 44-41 ATS (51.8 percent) overall. The zig-zig is 3-0 ATS so far in the Finals with the teams alternating wins so far and 40-30 ATS (57.1 percent) overall. Más/Menos are 2-2 in the Finals, while Menos lead 50-35 (58.8 percent).
Sunday’s Takes A’s + 150 in Guardians: This will come early at 11:35 am ET/8:35 am PT, but it’s an arrogant play with the A’s snapping their 10-game losing streak on Saturday. There’s also value in the price at 3-2 odds in a pitching matchup that’s roughly even with Cole Irvin (2-2, 3.00 ERA, 1.25 WHIP) for the A’s against Cal Quantrill (3-3, 3.59 ERA, 1.20 WHIP). WHIP). The only other dog I like on Sunday’s card is the Giants/Rodon + 120 vs. the Dodgers/Urias.
Bandidos-Breakers Less than 42.5: We lost our USFL game on Saturday but we are going to get back in the pot with this Under as we have him closer to 38 points and hopefully we don’t have another late game situation that pushes him over the total. Good luck today (and every day!).